This page presents detailed model outputs associated with the following article:
Estimating the impact of school closures on the COVID-19 dynamics in 74 countries: a modelling analysis.
Romain Ragonnet, Angus E Hughes, David S Shipman, Michael T Meehan, Alec S Henderson, Guillaume Briffoteaux, Nouredine Melab, Daniel Tuyttens, Emma S McBryde, James M Trauer.
Back to analysis selection index page
Selected country: Denmark
Selected analysis: SA1: Increased household transmission during closures
- The first panel presents a scenario comparison based on the maximum a-posteriori parameter set.
- The second and third panels present the uncertainty around the estimated epidemic trajectories, as median (black lines), interquartile range (dark shade) and 95% credible interval (light shade).
Relative outcomes
- Positive values indicate a positive effect of school closures on the relevant indicator.
- Negative values indicate that school closures exacerbated the relevant COVID-19 indicator..
|
N infections averted |
% infections averted |
% hospital peak reduction |
N deaths averted |
% deaths averted |
| percentile |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2.5% |
-893619 |
-17.2 |
-53.5 |
-3650 |
-37.1 |
| 25.0% |
-137202 |
-2.7 |
-10.7 |
-660 |
-7.2 |
| 50.0% |
46725 |
0.9 |
-2.4 |
247 |
2.8 |
| 75.0% |
288294 |
6.0 |
12.8 |
1379 |
13.2 |
| 97.5% |
1160062 |
24.8 |
61.1 |
4573 |
35.7 |